Stephen’s Survivor Strategy Blog: Big Move or Big Mistake?
April 16, 2010
http://tvwatch.people.com/2010/04/16/stephens-survivor-strategy-blog-big-move-or-big-mistake/
A wise ruler should rely on what is under his own control, not on what is under the control of others. –Machiavelli, The Prince
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Sometimes even the best competit0rs can slip up. Last night, when JT gave the idol to Russell, he made a blunder. But — sorry Erik — it was not at all the dumbest move in the show’s history. I’ll let the rest of the Internet dog-pile on JT about how he made a mistake. I want to argue that it was a strong, aggressive move that went awry.
As I wrote last week, it’s not a bad guess that Parvati has created a new black widow alliance that is devouring the men folk. The Villains have yet to vote out a girl, even though a couple of them are … how do I put this politely … challenge impaired. The problem comes when JT acts on this assumption, even though he has never spoken a word to Russell in his life. He gives the most powerful item in the game to its biggest unknown.
That said, what if JT had been right and there were an all-girls alliance? The Heroes think a merge is coming soon: “I bet my life in this game on it, that we’re gonna merge,” says JT. He has to know that Candice is a major flight risk. She’s been on the outs with the tribe since day three, and seems to have a personal vendetta against him. (“JT’s the slimiest guy out here,” she says.) Living with her 24 hours a day for 24 days, there’s no way that a player as savvy as JT would miss that.
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With that in mind, not giving Russell the idol might actually be a bigger risk than giving it to him. If JT’s right about the women’s alliance and sits back and lets Russell get voted out, then the tribes are merging 5-5. When Candice flips, there’ll be a 6-4 Villains majority. JT may not have the luxury of sitting back and waiting.
Jeff Probst always talks about how you need to make “big moves” to win Survivor. JT tries to uses the idol to change the entire dynamics of the game, rather than just hold on to it to save himself for another 3 days. He’s wrong, and he ends up giving the most powerful item in the game to its most nefarious villain. But at least he’s playing hard.
Amanda’s absolutely right when she says, “We don’t know what’s going on over [at the Villains camp]. He could be in with the girls for all we know.” But why doesn’t she say something to JT, rather than just to the cameras? What made JT and me so effective in Tocantins was that we were a team. You get crazy ideas on Survivor. You have nothing to do but scheme and worry. One week when I came back from Exile Island, I was certain that the entire world was plotting against me and I had to use our idol that night. JT talked me down and convinced me I was safe. He needed somebody to do that here.
I’m giving a co-Fishy this week to Parvati and Russell. You need a lot of luck to win Survivor — and you need to make your luck work for you. When Russell learns that the Heroes think there’s a women’s alliance, he plays into their mistake perfectly, making puppy dog eyes at JT and pleading for help. As for Parvati, when she stumbles onto a clue to an idol of her own, she shoves it away inside her bikini. Then she shares that information with Danielle so that Danielle will “feel tighter with me than with anybody else … so that, at the end of the game, she’ll … protect me.” The way she uses the clue to snooker Russell and set up her endgame strategy proves that she’s a lot more than just his consort.
A skinny, sassy girl like Courtney is typically the first person voted off their tribe. But like she did in China, Courtney was able to become a vital link in a dominant alliance. She was BFF with Boston Rob, tight with Tyson, and the beans to Sandra’s rice. I was sad to see her get voted out. But now, at least, we get to watch her and Coach make sweet music at Ponderosa. Check out the videos here. –Stephen Fishbach
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谁给帮忙翻译下。。。。。

题目：英明的决定还是愚蠢的错误
一个英明的领导者应该凭借他自己所拥有的领导能力，而不是在其他人的领导之下。--–Machiavelli
欲知下文如何，请使用金山词霸。。

看了第一段，又是为JT平反的，好吧我有心情的时候继续往下看

一些时候即使是最强大的选手也会疏忽。昨晚，当JT把豁免神像给了RUSSELL的时候，他便做出了一个很SB很傻X的决定。但是，不好意思 Erick，这在幸存者历史上不并不是一个非常愚蠢的举动。我想让网络上所有诟骂JT的人知道，其实这并不是一个错误。我要说的是，相反，这是一个强大的，积极地决策。
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就像我上星期所写的那样，Parvati制造了一个新的寡妇联盟，恶人帮们已经淘汰掉一个女孩，即使他们夫妻是。。我如何礼貌的做这些。。挑战被破坏了。。现在的问题是，JT以为RUSSELL会投靠他们，因此他做出了这个决定，即使在JT的生命中他没提过关于R的一字片语。他将比赛中最大的权利给了R的同时，也有一个更大的未知数在等待着他。。I

高中生英语水平翻译完毕。。剩下的请参考金山词霸

回复：11楼
谢谢翻译～～～
我和Ｓ的看法很像～～～

其实２０的ＶＩＬＬＩＡＮＳ，
确实是有黑寡妇联盟的存在～～～
ＰＡＲＶＡＴＩ还是１６的那招，
已经做了两手准备，
这次变成了王·后＋新黑寡妇而已～～～
ＪＴ的预判没有错，
不过做法太积极、冒进了～～～
史上最愚蠢，完全就是剧组一厢情愿的噱头～～～
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像Courtney这样瘦小而厚脸皮的人
------------这.....Stephen这样说的啊

回复：14楼
sassy是好话

someone, especially a woman, who is sassy is confident and does not really care what other people think about her
字典上的条目