level 9
会不会被95W吸得命运?95W搞得整个九月都废了!
2019年09月17日 05点09分
12
level 8
99W INVEST 190917 0000 15.0N 119.0E WPAC 15 0
2019年09月17日 05点09分
13
level 5
是我今年第一次天天打开台风吧 还是说今年特别多扰动。。。
2019年09月17日 06点09分
16
![[阴险]](/static/emoticons/u9634u9669.png)
每年扰动都很多
2019年09月17日 06点09分
level 14
(2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR15.0N 119.2E, APPROXIMATELY 117 NM WEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES.ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN EXPOSED, DEFINEDLOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH FLARING DEEP CONVECTION OVER THESOUTHWEST QUADRANT. A 170132Z PARTIAL ASCAT IMAGE INDICATES 10-15KNOT WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE WITH 20-25 KNOT WESTERLYWINDS OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATESAN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH STRONG (30-40 KNOTS) EASTERLYVERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE. DYNAMIC GLOBAL MODELSINDICATE THIS SYSTEM WILL TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD OVER LUZON WITHSTEADY WEAKENING AND DISSIPATION OVER THE NEXT 1-2 DAYS. THEREMNANTS ARE EXPECTED TO GET ABSORBED INTO INVEST 95W. MAXIMUMSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEALEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FORTHE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24HOURS IS LOW.
2019年09月17日 06点09分
22
level 16
PAGASA
At 10:00 AM today, Meanwhile, another LPA was estimated at 105 km West of Iba, Zambales (15.2N, 119.0E). In the next 24 hours, this LPA and the Southwest Monsoon will bring frequent light to moderate with occassional heavy rains over Zambales, Bataan and Occidental Mindoro. Residents in these areas are advised to take precautionary measures against possible flashfloods in low lyng areas and landslides over mountainous areas. Meanwhile, light to moderate rains with at times heavy rainshowers will be experienced over Metro Manila, the rest of Luzon and Panay island. The public and Disaster Risk Reduction Management Offices concerned are advised to continue monitoring for updates to be incorporated in the Public Weather Forecast to be issued at 4:00 PM today and 4:00 AM tomorrow. The next Weather Advisory will be issued at 11:00 AM tomorrow.
2019年09月17日 07点09分
24