TOPIC：ARGUMENT 153 - The following is from an editorial in the Midvale Observer, a local newspaper. "Ever since the 1950's, when television sets began to appear in the average home, the rate of crimes committed by teenagers in the country of Alta has steadily increased. This increase in teenage crime parallels the increase in violence shown on television. According to several national studies, even very young children who watch a great number of television shows featuring violent scenes display more violent behavior within their home environment than do children who do not watch violent shows. Furthermore, in a survey conducted by the Observer, over 90 percent of the respondents were parents who indicated that prime-time television-programs that are shown between 7 p.m. and 9 p.m.-should show less violence. Therefore, in order to lower the rate of teenage crime in Alta, television viewers should demand that television programmers reduce the amount of violence shown during prime timeIn the argument, by providing some national study and a survey, the author asserts that the television programmers should reduce the amount of violence show during prime time to decrease teenage crime in Alta. In-depth scrutiny upon the evidences reveals that hastiness seriously undermine the credibility of the argument and the author's logic suffers from several fallacies as follows.Primarily, the author fails to distinguish the simultaneity and the causality of the increase of teenage crime and the fact that television was spreading in average home. It is entirely possible that the potential trend of increase of teenage crime has long existed before the spread of television, and the result of increasing teenage crime was a reasonable fact for the trend. And perhaps, the appearance of television was able to avoid some crime by attract the teenager home or educated them with some programs which taught basic knowledge of laws. Therefore, it is quite suspicious and hasty for the author to link two event which had few relationship.What's more, the national studies provided are far from convincing to make me believe that the group of young children who watch violent scenes would indeed display more violent behaviors in the society. As the author only mentions that the very group of children only display more violent behavior within their home environment, I have enough reason to doubt that it is just for their parents' neglect over these violence that gave the children enough courage to display violent behavior within home. Whereas, in the level of society, as for the fear of punishment of laws, these children would not dare to behave violently. Additionally, whether the violence within home would lead to crime is still open to doubt. As the crime caused by violent only makes up a small percentage, and other kind of crime, such as stealing, was not resulting from violence. Thus, the national studies are too weak to better support the author's claim.Further, the survey is not so substantial to support that the increase of teenage crime is caused by violent show on television. It is quite possible that the survey was only offered to the parents who were prone to indicate the decrease of violent show between 7p.m and 9p.m, while these part of parents was, on the contrary, a small group. Thus, the result of the survey would not probably stand for the mind of all parents. To this extent, based on the groundless survey, the assertion of the author is quite suspicious.Finally, even grant the profitability of the reduce of violent show during prime time, whether this legislation would really reduce teenage crime is still unknown. The teenagers who were fond of violent show would still have access to watch violent show in other time, such as in the morning , at noon ,and so forth. And the final result would equal to that before the restriction over violent show during prime time. So the method appealed by the author would be feckless to solve the teenage crime problem.To sum up, based on some groundless evidence, the author's claim is far from convincing. TO better strengthen his assertion, he should make necessary and accurate response to all the doubt I rise above

其实我们这N人也多的。你上AB版就知道了。有个师兄就是斯坦福的