【Billboard】HDD初预测:25美国首周可能150万-170万
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level 15
________Cold 楼主
RT.
到时候如果卖不到,请HDD少多少给补多少谢谢[滑稽]
2015年10月27日 15点10分 1
吧务
level 15
________Cold 楼主
THE ONE & ONLY: The launch of the less-is-more marketing campaign for Adele’s Nov. 20 album, 25—formulated by the artist, Columbia chief Rob Stringer and manager Jonathan Dickins—was a model of economy and efficiency, from the brilliantly minimalist 30-second spot that appeared out of the blue during The X Factor in the U.K. through the midweek surgical strikes on social media to the arrival of the album preorder and the lead single “Hello” on Friday. Following this series of calculated moves, the album immediately shot to #1 in country after country, while the single will sell north of 1m in its first week, obliterating the previous record. The reigning Queen of Pop won’t be ever-present leading up to 25’s release in the Taylor Swift manner; Adele’s appearances will continue to be highly select and strategic, befitting her enigmatic persona, just as Swift’s ubiquitousness around her releases is a reflection of her effervescent personality. In a lockout deal with NBC, she’ll appear on Today and Fallon on dates TBA and SNL on Nov. 21, while a Nov. 17 performance at Radio City Music Hall will be taped for a prime-time special airing during Thanksgiving week, according to inside sources. The Grammys on CBS next February will be the lone exception to the lockout.
But if the artist herself will remain at a distance, the opposite will be true of the album. The plan is for the LP to own physical retail from release date through the end of the holidays; hence, it will be everywhere from supermarkets to truck stops, including a major, major initiative from Target, its centerpiece a deluxe exclusive version of 25 with three bonus tracks. If the overall plan is carried out properly, Adele CDs will be stacked so high at the cash registers that shoppers will be tripping over them. Clearly, the initial order will need to be massive in order to blanket retail. Some handicappers believe 25 will debut with 1.5-1.7m, eclipsing the 1.3m first week of Swift’s 1989, though not approaching the record of 2.4m set by NSYNC’s No Strings Attached back in 2000. Sustaining big numbers through the holidays is the next step in the plan; the graphic below, showing sales of 1989, from its release on 10/27/14 through the first week in January, will be a useful measuring stick for Adele’s performance.
How will the emphasis on physical product impact Team Adele’s streaming strategy? The single is available on all the major services—and it, too, is breaking records—but it remains unclear whether the album will be held back altogether or limited to premium. In the latter scenario, would Spotify alter its policy in order to be in the Adele business?
2015年10月27日 15点10分 2
level 15
估计还会上调
2015年10月27日 15点10分 4
.......到时候你跟HDD一起补销量[滑稽]
2015年10月27日 15点10分
回复 ________Cold :详情见1989 何况阿呆才几天预购就20多万 势头太好
2015年10月27日 15点10分
吧务
level 15
________Cold 楼主
ANTI will be Rihanna’s first album on her new label deal with Roc Nation, which is also her management company, a combination unheard of for a superstar. Her team had previously slated the album to drop on 11/6, but they’ve moved off that date, quite possibly because it won’t be ready in time. 11/13 would seem to be out, due to the double whammy of SYCO/Columbia’s One Direction and Def Jam’s Justin Bieber, both of which were initially projected to sell north of 350k—and while the Bieber projection has been lowered to 300k, the just-released single “Sorry” could reignite the Purpose preorder. Putting things in perspective, although Rihanna’s recent singles haven’t been smashes, possibly lowering the ceiling on ANTI’s first-week, her brand is bigger than ever, and in big-picture terms, her brand is where the big money is.
TWO LEGENDS: The impending buy/sell on Sony/ATV initiated by Sony Corp. in Tokyo thrusts uber-publisher Marty Bandier and mega-attorney/dealmaker John Branca together yet again in a business and personal relationship that dates back 30 years. The stage was set in 1985, when Branca acquired ATV Music Publishing, which included the Lennon & McCartney catalog, on behalf of Michael Jackson at the bargain price of $47.5m. Their paths crossed a year later, when Branca represented Bandier, Charles Koppelman and Stephen Swid (SBK) in the purchase of CBS Songs from Walter Yetnikoff; that became the foundation of EMI Music Publishing. In 1989, when EMI acquired SBK, Bandier was named the head of EMP, while Koppelman took charge of recorded music; Branca represented SBK in the deal. It was then that Bandier began building EMP into the #1 pubco, a status it retained throughout his 17-year reign.
One of the imary building blocks was Berry Gordy’s Jobete Music, of which Bandier took a 50% stake in 1996 for $132m, upping it to 100% three years later; Branca represented Gordy in both transactions. In another foreshadowing, Branca and Sony Entertainment’s Mickey Schulhoff engineered the merger of Jackson’s ATV and Sony Music Publishing, creating Sony/ATV, in 1995. After Bandier stepped down as the head of EMP in October 2006, Branca advised his longtime friend to turn down a similar offer from Warner Music and take the Sony/ATV job instead. Thereafter, Branca repped Leiber & Stoller in the sale of their catalog to Sony/ATV. In 2011, Bandier was reunited with EMP, as it was joined with Sony/ATV to form the world’s largest pubco; Branca was a consultant to Sony in the purchase. As for Sony/ATV’s future, the most knowledgeable people in the business are split about whether Sony is a buyer or seller (Sony’s piece of EMP is not part of the buy/sell), Branca has made it clear that he wants to buy out Sony—but he doesn’t want Bandier’s job, in part because he believes no one could do it better.
2015年10月27日 15点10分 5
吧务
level 16
可怕
2015年10月27日 15点10分 6
level 14
当初1989第一次预测是多少?
2015年10月27日 15点10分 8
记忆中官网是75万...HDD应该也差不多这个数
2015年10月27日 15点10分
@________Cold 听到你这么说我就放心了
2015年10月27日 15点10分
回复 悲慘的回憶錄 :所以是要卖出200万左右么[惊哭]
2015年10月27日 16点10分
回复 ________Cold :第一次预测60w
2015年10月27日 17点10分
level 12
对她逆天成绩已经各种无感了,什么都有了,似乎来的毫不费力,失了一场恋而已
2015年10月27日 15点10分 9
这一次并不是失恋好吗。。阿呆自己说了这首歌写父亲的[喷][喷]
2015年10月28日 04点10分
@下个月31号_ 这才刚开始,这一次的成绩来自于21积累的口碑和人气[呵呵]
2015年10月28日 04点10分
@采蘑菇的小伙子 是的丫。可是阿呆偏偏就做出了一张21你怪谁[呵呵][呵呵]别的DIVA没能攒下来你怪谁[呵呵][呵呵]来的毫不费力。我就呵呵哒你一脸。。
2015年10月28日 04点10分
我霉哭晕在厕所
2015年10月28日 04点10分
level 17
前排[阴险]
2015年10月27日 15点10分 10
level 13
懒妮[泪][泪][泪]
2015年10月27日 15点10分 11
level 17
如果预测150万,至少会破百万
2015年10月27日 15点10分 12
level 13
嘻嘻
2015年10月27日 15点10分 13
level 15
[滑稽]卖不到这么多HDD负责补齐
2015年10月27日 15点10分 14
level 15
Some handicappers believe 25 will debut with 1.5-1.7m, eclipsing the 1.3m first week of Swift’s 1989
这能叫HDD预测吗[阴险]
2015年10月27日 15点10分 15
[阴险]反正是它发的,当初HDD转了一个水果公司关于春梦首周的铺货72万都被叫做预测了
2015年10月27日 15点10分
吧务
level 15
________Cold 楼主
NAMES IN THE RUMOR MILL: Dave Holmes, Martin Mills, Jay Brown, Scooter Braun, Richard Griffiths and Irving Azoff.
2015年10月27日 15点10分 16
level 14
2015年10月27日 15点10分 17
@爱黄渤爱生活 嘻嘻嘻嘻
2015年10月27日 15点10分
此人正在彩排吃翔
2015年10月27日 15点10分
嘻嘻
2015年10月27日 17点10分
这个人简直给霉粉抹黑,早就看不惯他
2015年10月27日 17点10分
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