自称奥斯卡竞猜专业户的Gold Derby昨天发布了关于今届奥斯卡男主之争的阶段性总结报告

Oscars flashback: Steve Carell led Best Actor race, Jake Gyllenhaal not even in contention【奥斯卡回顾：史蒂夫.卡瑞尔曾是男主大热而当时的杰克.吉伦哈尔甚至不在提名候选人大名单上】
By Paul Sheehan
Dec 22 2014 09:30 am

When we launched our Oscars prediction center in late August, our current Best Actor frontrunner Michael Keaton ("Birdman") was a distant second to Steve Carell ("Foxcatcher"). And Jake Gyllenhaal ("Nightcrawler") -- who just reaped bids at the Golden Globes, Critics' Choice and SAG Awards -- did not even figure into our calculations. 【我们今年八月下旬预测奥斯卡男主人选时，现在的大热迈克尔.基顿（鸟人）离榜首的史蒂夫.卡瑞尔（狐狸捕手）还很有一段距离。而将金球、影评人奖和演员工会奖提名尽数收入囊中的杰克.吉伦哈尔（夜行者）甚至不在我们的大名单中。】

At the start of the awards season, Carell was coming off of a triumphant screening at Cannes of Bennett Miller's dark drama about millionaire John DuPont and his deadly obsession with Olympic wrestlers Mark and Dave Schultz (Channing Tatum, Mark Ruffalo). Keaton's campaign kicked into high gear after Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu's sly satire of stardom opened the Venice filmfest. He has picked up several key critics prizes and contends for all three key precursor awards. 【奖季开始时卡瑞尔因贝尼特.米勒的黑暗剧情片在戛纳的大获全胜而成为领跑者，这是一部关于沉迷于奥林匹克摔跤选手马克和戴夫（分由钱宁.塔图姆和马克.鲁法洛饰演）的百万富翁约翰.杜邦的电影。基顿的竞选之旅始于冈萨雷斯.伊纳里多明星云集的、狡黠的讽刺片在威尼斯电影节的强劲开幕。他获得了好几个影响力比较大的影评人奖，并且入选了所有三大奥斯卡前哨奖】

终于到老吉了
The biggest surprise this season has been Gyllenhaal, whose tireless promotion propelled “Nightcrawler" into the conversation. He has touted this first directing effort by scripter Dan Gilroy on both coasts and is poised to knock Globe and SAG nominee Carell, whose film failed to find traction, from that fifth slot. 【今季最大的惊喜是吉伦哈尔，他不知疲倦地跑宣传让《夜行者》一直被没被遗忘。他与编剧出身的初哥导演丹.吉尔罗伊的合作在东西海岸都收到了如潮好评，大有挤掉电影公映后表现不太给力，金球和演员工会双提的卡瑞尔，晋身第五名的位置。】

Gold Derby现在的男主排名

The End

话说我天天去奥巴逛有没有Jake的消息