level 4
pingyangtb
楼主
之前看到有人说是金箱是伪随机的数列，70里一个金。可我这快200没金，这次全球活动都快结束了还没出....中间没有升过段，一直在2-3上下。
2026年01月01日 06点01分
1
我一直在记录数据，发现基本没啥规矩。
2026年01月01日 08点01分
level 11
level 4
level 8
Today’s topic is the crate cycle, commanders!
Many players don’t know the probabilities of getting a Legendary Chest, and this thread is for them.
❗️First thing to remember is you cannot get more than one Legendary Chest per cycle. Once you receive it, you can freely win as many matches as needed to finish the cycle and start the new one to again get a chance to claim Legendary Chest.
Each crate cycle contains 70 chests:
1 Legendary Chest (12h)
3 Epic Chests (8h)
10 Big Rare Chests (4h)
56 Rare Chests (2h)
Probabilities of getting a Legendary Chest during one cycle:
1–10 crates: 1.4% – 1.6%
10–20 crates: 1.6% – 2.0%
20–30 crates: 2.0% – 2.5%
30–40 crates: 2.5% – 3.3%
40–50 crates: 3.3% – 5.0%
50–60 crates: 5.0% – 10%
60–70 crates: 10% – 100%
❓️ FAQ: ❓️
How to know when a new crate cycle starts?
– New crate cycle always resets and starts over again after you reach a new league that you didn't encounter before. So the easiest way to start counting crates is to achieve new league.
Why count crates?
– Counting crates helps you know when to keep free chest slots for a potential Legendary jackpot. For example, if you’ve already won 50 matches and have no free slots, you might miss the chance to get a Golden Crate.
2026年01月27日 17点01分
8
Many players don’t know the probabilities of getting a Legendary Chest, and this thread is for them.
❗️First thing to remember is you cannot get more than one Legendary Chest per cycle. Once you receive it, you can freely win as many matches as needed to finish the cycle and start the new one to again get a chance to claim Legendary Chest.
Each crate cycle contains 70 chests:
1 Legendary Chest (12h)
3 Epic Chests (8h)
10 Big Rare Chests (4h)
56 Rare Chests (2h)
Probabilities of getting a Legendary Chest during one cycle:
1–10 crates: 1.4% – 1.6%
10–20 crates: 1.6% – 2.0%
20–30 crates: 2.0% – 2.5%
30–40 crates: 2.5% – 3.3%
40–50 crates: 3.3% – 5.0%
50–60 crates: 5.0% – 10%
60–70 crates: 10% – 100%
❓️ FAQ: ❓️
How to know when a new crate cycle starts?
– New crate cycle always resets and starts over again after you reach a new league that you didn't encounter before. So the easiest way to start counting crates is to achieve new league.
Why count crates?
– Counting crates helps you know when to keep free chest slots for a potential Legendary jackpot. For example, if you’ve already won 50 matches and have no free slots, you might miss the chance to get a Golden Crate.
70保底金箱子
2026年01月27日 18点01分
level 8
level 1
官方数据感觉看看就好，红色币掉落几率20+%，轮盘的好像35%以上。实际上多数情况下，要完成那个50W红色币的任务，一下开六七个都碰不到的，轮盘的几率感觉倒是比较准，基本3开1
2026年06月24日 00点06分
10
轮盘的概率点旁边叹号能看到，传奇轮盘的红币概率是23%，奖励轮盘的红币概率是33%。十连一次不出的概率仍超过7%，十连只中一次的概率大概20%，所以真倒霉起来，那也没办法。![[汗]](/static/emoticons/u6c57.png)
2026年06月24日 07点06分
level 1
如果8楼的那个是真的官方数据，那还得长期维持联赛等级才准确。每组箱子70个，只有一个是金箱，刷到了之后还要把剩下的不是金箱的箱子全刷出来才进入下一组箱子。对于联赛等级经常上上下下，反复横跳的就不是那么准了。
2026年06月24日 07点06分
12
并不需要维持等级不变，正常的等级升降对金箱没有影响。要突破到从未达到的级别，才会对金箱循环清零重置。我已记录几千场了，这个文件基本上准确。
2026年06月25日 10点06分
@ascentia 有意义吗，要反驳一个观点，只要有一个反例，而要用反证法，需要证明反例存在自相矛盾而不可能存在。你记录几千个都对也比不上有个人记录出一个不对。
2026年06月25日 11点06分
