level 1
守护之心
楼主
转自官方论坛,这个图表显示了开启红箱子的时候,得到各种武器的概率,你可以根据它来评估一下刷出某种你想要的东西的机会.
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Keep in mind this is HEAVILY DUMBED DOWN and takes a few assumptions,but should give you an accurate representation of drop rates.
1. This only takes into account RED CHESTS. NOT WHITE CHESTS.
2. This ONLY ACCOUNTS FOR NON-LEGENDARY WEAPONS.
3. This assumes that every chest configuration has an equal chance ofarising. I know alien chests are pretty rare, but bear with me, please.
4. This assumes that each individual suffix has the same probability of being spawned.
5. Grenade mods, shields, and class mods all inexplicably spawn withequal probability (definitely not true, but I don't have real numbers,so I assume they spawn equally)
6. Chests spawn with the maximum amount of junk possible, meaning youhad better be in P2.5 or these things will not make sense sometimes.
This diagram is VERY COMPLICATED AND NOT FOR THE FAINT OF HEART. Whatit tells you is a statistical AVERAGE expectancy as you farm repeatedamounts of chests.
The Overall probability simply tells you the chance of finding a gun oftype X inside a closed box. If you open a box and were to only get oneweapon, what would it be?
The Weighted probability number is what you need to take home. Let'ssay you open 100 chests. The weighted probability tells you how muchapproximately of the items you collect are pistols. It is important torecognize that a percentage does not mean that 28 pistols appear in 100boxes. Rather it means of all the junk you collect TOTAL, 28% of thatare likely to be pistols!
I have for simplicity's sake merged things with identicalprobabilities. Each probability in a merged box accounts for eachindividual item type.
Please remember to account for the fact that long arms come from 2types of chest. To get their total possibility, add the values togetheror simply multiply by 1.5
I hope I haven't made any formula errors. The most important categoriesto look at are weighted categories for weapon base types. Assuming thateverything is left to chance, you're going find 28 handguns for every 4combat rifles you find!


2009年12月09日 03点12分
1
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Keep in mind this is HEAVILY DUMBED DOWN and takes a few assumptions,but should give you an accurate representation of drop rates.
1. This only takes into account RED CHESTS. NOT WHITE CHESTS.
2. This ONLY ACCOUNTS FOR NON-LEGENDARY WEAPONS.
3. This assumes that every chest configuration has an equal chance ofarising. I know alien chests are pretty rare, but bear with me, please.
4. This assumes that each individual suffix has the same probability of being spawned.
5. Grenade mods, shields, and class mods all inexplicably spawn withequal probability (definitely not true, but I don't have real numbers,so I assume they spawn equally)
6. Chests spawn with the maximum amount of junk possible, meaning youhad better be in P2.5 or these things will not make sense sometimes.
This diagram is VERY COMPLICATED AND NOT FOR THE FAINT OF HEART. Whatit tells you is a statistical AVERAGE expectancy as you farm repeatedamounts of chests.
The Overall probability simply tells you the chance of finding a gun oftype X inside a closed box. If you open a box and were to only get oneweapon, what would it be?
The Weighted probability number is what you need to take home. Let'ssay you open 100 chests. The weighted probability tells you how muchapproximately of the items you collect are pistols. It is important torecognize that a percentage does not mean that 28 pistols appear in 100boxes. Rather it means of all the junk you collect TOTAL, 28% of thatare likely to be pistols!
I have for simplicity's sake merged things with identicalprobabilities. Each probability in a merged box accounts for eachindividual item type.
Please remember to account for the fact that long arms come from 2types of chest. To get their total possibility, add the values togetheror simply multiply by 1.5
I hope I haven't made any formula errors. The most important categoriesto look at are weighted categories for weapon base types. Assuming thateverything is left to chance, you're going find 28 handguns for every 4combat rifles you find!

