Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization in
association with a low pressure system located near the
west-central coast of Mexico. Some additional development of this
system is possible and a short-lived tropical depression could form
on Sunday before it moves inland by Sunday night. Regardless of
whether or not this system becomes a tropical depression, heavy
rainfall associated with this disturbance could produce flash
flooding and mudslides across portions of Michoacan, Colima, and
Jalisco, especially in areas of mountainous terrain, during the next
couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.


