FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 19/0300Z 11.5N 126.6W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 19/1200Z 11.9N 126.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 20/0000Z 11.9N 126.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 20/1200Z 11.6N 125.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 21/0000Z 11.2N 125.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 22/0000Z 11.4N 126.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 23/0000Z 12.5N 126.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 24/0000Z 13.0N 125.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

TXPZ23 KNES 190618
TCSENP
A. 18E (OCTAVE)
B. 19/0600Z
C. 11.4N
D. 126.5W
E. THREE/GOES-W
F. TOO WEAK
G. IR/EIR/SWIR
H. REMARKS...SYSTEM IS DEVOID OF ACTIVE CONVECTION, AND THEREFORE THE
DT IS ZERO. MET IS 1.0 AND PT IS LT 1.0. THIS SYSTEM IS TOO WEAK TO
CLASSIFY. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL BULLETIN UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...RAMIREZ

EP, 18, 2019101906, , BEST, 0, 114N, 1265W, 30, 1008, TD,

全球热带气旋监测报告
预报：吕爱民 签发：许映龙 2019 年 10 月 19 日 18 时
“奥克塔夫”减弱为热带低压
东北太平洋热带风暴“奥克塔夫”（OCTAVE）已于今天（19日）下午（北京时，下同）减弱为热带低压。预计，“奥克塔”将以每小时5-10公里的速度向偏北方向移动，强度继续减弱。
（这是关于“奥克塔夫”的最后一期监测公报）

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 19/0900Z 11.5N 126.4W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 19/1800Z 11.7N 126.0W 25 KT 30 MPH
24H 20/0600Z 11.6N 125.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 20/1800Z 11.2N 125.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 21/0600Z 11.0N 125.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 22/0600Z 11.7N 125.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 23/0600Z 12.4N 124.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 24/0600Z 13.0N 124.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

EP, 18, 2019101912, , BEST, 0, 115N, 1260W, 30, 1009, TD

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 125.9W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 2 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 125.9W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 126.0W
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 11.6N 125.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 11.3N 125.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 10.9N 125.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 10.8N 125.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 11.4N 125.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 12.5N 124.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 12.6N 124.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 19/1500Z 11.5N 125.9W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 20/0000Z 11.6N 125.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 20/1200Z 11.3N 125.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 21/0000Z 10.9N 125.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 21/1200Z 10.8N 125.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 22/1200Z 11.4N 125.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 23/1200Z 12.5N 124.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 24/1200Z 12.6N 124.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

EP, 18, 2019101918, , BEST, 0, 116N, 1258W, 25, 1009, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 150, 20, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, OCTAVE, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 041,

INIT 19/2100Z 11.6N 125.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
12H 20/0600Z 11.4N 125.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 20/1800Z 11.1N 125.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 21/0600Z 10.8N 125.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 21/1800Z 10.9N 125.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 22/1800Z 11.7N 125.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 23/1800Z 12.4N 125.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 24/1800Z 12.0N 124.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

Last advisory issued on Nestor, Octave

偷改25→30，但依然无力回天：EP, 18, 2019101918, , BEST, 0, 116N, 1258W, 30, 1009, LO。

NRL撤编（都是早已）。

真短命