14楼报文图

TXPZ23 KNES 181228
TCSENP
A. 18E (OCTAVE)
B. 18/1200Z
C. 10.5N
D. 126.8W
E. THREE/GOES-W
F. T2.0/2.0/D1.0/24HRS
G. IR/EIR/SWIR/AMSR2
H. REMARKS...SHEAR PATTERN WITH CIRCULARLY DEFINED CLOUD LINES UNDER
SMALL COLD OVERCAST YIELDS A DT OF 2.0. MET AND PT = 2.0. FT IS BASED
ON DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
18/0943Z 10.3N 126.7W AMSR2
...KIBLER

EP, 18, 2019101812, , BEST, 0, 104N, 1266W, 40, 1005, TS,

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 126.6W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 126.6W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 126.6W
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 11.1N 126.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 11.6N 126.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 11.6N 125.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 11.2N 125.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 11.0N 126.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 11.5N 126.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 12.5N 127.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 18/1500Z 10.6N 126.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 19/0000Z 11.1N 126.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 19/1200Z 11.6N 126.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 20/0000Z 11.6N 125.9W 30 KT 35 MPH
48H 20/1200Z 11.2N 125.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 21/1200Z 11.0N 126.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 22/1200Z 11.5N 126.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 23/1200Z 12.5N 127.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 18/1500Z 10.6N 126.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 19/0000Z 11.1N 126.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 19/1200Z 11.6N 126.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 20/0000Z 11.6N 125.9W 30 KT 35 MPH
48H 20/1200Z 11.2N 125.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 21/1200Z 11.0N 126.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 22/1200Z 11.5N 126.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 23/1200Z 12.5N 127.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

TXPZ23 KNES 181820
TCSENP
A. 18E (OCTAVE)
B. 18/1800Z
C. 10.8N
D. 126.6W
E. THREE/GOES-W
F. T1.0/2.0/W1.0/24HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DETERIORATE IN SATELLITE IMAGERY.
LESS THAN 2/10 BANDING ON LOG10 SPIRAL YIELDS A DT OF 0.0 MET AND PT
ARE LESS THAN 1.0. FT IS BASED ON CONSTRAINTS.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...KIBLER

18E OCTAVE 191018 1800 10.8N 126.6W EPAC 35 1006

INIT 18/2100Z 11.0N 126.6W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 19/0600Z 11.6N 126.3W 30 KT 35 MPH
24H 19/1800Z 11.9N 125.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 20/0600Z 11.7N 125.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 20/1800Z 11.3N 125.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 21/1800Z 11.1N 125.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 22/1800Z 11.9N 125.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 23/1800Z 12.9N 125.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

半裸

18E OCTAVE 191019 0000 11.3N 126.6W EPAC 35 1006

鸭风

TXPZ23 KNES 190036
TCSENP
A. 18E (OCTAVE)
B. 19/0000Z
C. 11.2N
D. 126.8W
E. FIVE/GOES-W
F. T1.0/2.0/W1.0/12HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...CIRCULAR DEFINED CLOUD LINES WITH LLCC LESS THAN 75 NM
FROM A SMALL COLD OVERCAST MAKES DT EQUAL TO 1.5. MET IS LESS THAN 1.0
AND PT IS EQUAL TO 1.0. FT IS BASED ON PT DUE TO CONVECTION THAT HAS
NOT BEEN PERSISTANT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...SAMBUCCI

全球热带气旋监测报告
预报：吕爱民 签发：许映龙 2019 年 10 月 19 日 10 时
“奥克塔夫”向偏北方向移动
东北太平洋热带风暴“奥克塔夫”（OCTAVE）的中心今天（19日）上午 8点钟（北京时，下同）位于墨西哥南下加利福尼亚州圣卢卡斯角（CABO SAN LUCAS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA）西南方约2200公里的东北太平洋洋面上，就是北纬11.3度、西经126.6度，中心附近最大风力有8级（18米/秒，相当于我国的热带风暴级），中心最低气压为1006百帕。
预计，“奥克塔”将以每小时5-10公里的速度向偏北方向移动，强度将逐渐减弱。