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A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula
continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Upper-level winds are forecast to be marginally conducive for
development during the next two to three days, and a tropical
depression could form during that time while the low moves
west-northwestward at about 15 mph. After that time, strong
upper-level winds are expected to prevent additional development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

91E INVEST 190801 1800 11.5N 113.5W EPAC 25 1010

比较一般的东西

Location: 12.0°N 115.0°W
Maximum Winds: 25 kt Gusts: nan kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1010 mb
Environmental Pressure: 1012 mb
Radius of Circulation: 120 NM
Radius of Maximum Wind: 100 NM

EP, 91, 2019080200, , BEST, 0, 116N, 1157W, 25, 1010, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 120, 100, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
EP, 91, 2019080206, , BEST, 0, 118N, 1173W, 25, 1010, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 120, 100, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,

91E INVEST 190802 1200 12.1N 117.6W EPAC 25 1010

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located about 900 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula remain disorganized. Upper-level winds are expected to be marginally conducive for development only during the next day or two while the low moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Forecaster Beven

EP, 91, 2019080218, , BEST, 0, 128N, 1184W, 25, 1010, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 120, 100, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
EP, 91, 2019080300, , BEST, 0, 137N, 1193W, 25, 1009, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 120, 100, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located about 850 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula have changed little over the past several hours. Some development of this system is possible tonight or early Saturday while the low moves generally west-northwestward at about 10 mph. After that, upper-level winds are not expected to be conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
Forecaster Pasch

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of lowpressure located about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip ofthe Baja California peninsula have become more concentrated duringthe past several hours. However, recent satellite wind dataindicate that the system does not have a well-defined circulation.Some additional development of this system is possible today beforeupper-level winds become unfavorable. This system is expected tomove generally westward during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

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【08E】:https://tieba.baidu.com/p/6214823459

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