形态还可以

TXPS41 PHFO 180543
TCSSP1
SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY - FIXES
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
0543 UTC SAT MAY 18 2019
A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (12F/95P)
B. 18/0500Z
C. 10.8S
D. 176.9E
E. HIMAWARI-8
F. T2.0/2.0/S0.0/24 HR
G. VIS/IR/EIR
H. REMARKS...WRAP OF 0.4...FOR APPARENT LLCC...ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDS A DT OF 2.5. PT IS 3.0. MET IS 2.5. FT IS 2.0 USING
CONSTRAINTS.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NONE.
$$
KINEL

或许Rita？

SH, 95, 2019051806, , BEST, 0, 99S, 1759E, 25, 1004, TD, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1010, 170, 35, 0, 0, P, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,

GALE WARNING 006 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI May 180704 UTC.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TD12F CENTRE [1004HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 9.5S 175.7E AT
180600UTC. POSITION FAIR. TD12F MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 06 KNOTS.
EXPECT CLOCKWISE WINDS UP TO 35 KNOTS DEVELOPING WITHIN 60 TO 150 NAUTICAL MILES
AWAY FROM THE CENTER IN THE NEXT 06 TO 12 HOURS.
AREA OF GALES MOVING WITH THE DEPRESSION.
THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES GALE WARNING 005.

SPECIAL WEATHER BULLETIN NUMBER SIX ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI
AT 8:20PM ON SATURDAY THE 18TH OF MAY 2019
A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR ROTUMA
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TD12F CENTRE WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.5S 175.7E OR
ABOUT 360KM KILOMETERS NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ROTUMA AT 06:00PM TONIGHT.
CLOSE TO ITS CENTRE THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO HAVE AVERAGE WINDS
UPTO 50KM/HR WITH MOMENTARY GUSTS TO 80KM/HR. THE DEPRESSION IS
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT ABOUT 6 KM/HR AND IS EXPECTED TO PASS TO THE WEST
OF ROTUMA IN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.
ON THIS TRACK, THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BRING DAMAGING GALE
FORCE WINDS OVER ROTUMA.

TXPS41 PHFO 181135
TCSSP1
SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY - FIXES
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
1135 UTC SAT MAY 18 2019
A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (12F/95P)
B. 18/1100Z
C. 10.7S
D. 177.9E
E. HIMAWARI-8
F. T2.0/2.0/S0.0/24 HR
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS...LOW CONFIDENCE IN LLCC POSITION. DT AND PT ARE
INDETERMINATE. FT BASED ON MET.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NONE.
$$
KINEL

Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI May 180854 UTC.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TD12F CENTRE [1004HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 9.5S 175.7E
AT 180600UTC AND REMAINS SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON
HIMAWARI-8 IR IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE REPORTS.
DEEP CONVECTION LIES OVER THE SUPPOSED LLCC AND REMAINS PERSISTENT.
ORGANIZATION CONTINUES TO IMPROVE IN THE PAST 24 HOURS. CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION EXTENDS UP TO 500HPA. SYSTEM LIES UNDER AN UPPER RIDGE
WITH GOOD UPPER DIVERGENCE. SYSTEM LIES IN A MODERATE SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT. SST IS AROUND 30 DEGREES CELSIUS.
GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND MOVE IT SOUTHEAST WITH
SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN
THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW TO MODERATE.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A3 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI
May 180845 UTC.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12F CENTRE 1004HPA WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.5S 175.7E
AT 180600 UTC. POSITION POOR BASED ON HR HIMAWARI IR IMAGERY AND
PERIPHERAL SURFACE REPORTS. TD12F MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT ABOUT 6
KNOTS. MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ESTIMATED AT
ABOUT 30 KNOTS.
DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED SOUTH OF LLCC AND ORGANIZATION REMAINS POOR.
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDS UPTO 500 HPA. SYSTEM LIES IN A MODERATE
TO HIGH SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. STRONG UPPER DIVERGENCE WITH GOOD
OUTFLOW TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST. SST AROUND 30 DEGREES CELCIUS.
DVORAK ANALYSIS BASED ON SHEARED PATTERN WITH DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED
TO ABOUT 50 TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES FROM LLCC, YIELDS DT=2.0. MET AND PT
AGREE. FT BASED ON DT. THUS, YIELDING T2.0/2.5/D0.5/24HRS.
GLOBAL MODELS MOVE THE SYSTEM SOUTHEASTWARD WITH SOME INTENSIFICATION
AND THAN WEAKENS IT. THE POTENTIAL FOR TD12F TO DEVELOP INTO A
TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW TO MODERATE.
FORECASTS:
AT 12 HRS VALID AT 181800 UTC 12.1S 176.6E MOVING SSE AT 03KT WITH 30
KT CLOSE TO THE CENTRE
AT 24 HRS VALID AT 190600 UTC 13.2S 177.4E MOVING SSE AT 03KT WITH
30KT CLOSE TO THE CENTRE
OUTLOOK :
AT 36 HRS VALID AT 191800 UTC 14.1S 178.1E MOVING SSE AT 03KT WITH 30
KT CLOSE TO THE CENTRE
AT 48 HRS VALID AT 200600 UTC 15.5S 178.6E SLOW MOVING SSE AT 03KT
WITH 30KT CLOSE TO THE CENTRE
THE NEXT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12F
WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 181400 UTC.

SH, 95, 2019051806, , BEST, 0, 97S, 1761E, 25, 1004, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1010, 170, 35, 0, 0, P, 0, ,

SH, 95, 2019051812, , BEST, 0, 100S, 1766E, 25, 1004, TD, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1010, 170, 35, 0, 0, P, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,

SH, 95, 2019051818, , BEST, 0, 103S, 1766E, 25, 1006, TD, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 170, 35, 0, 0, P, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,

95P.INVEST.25kts.1006mb.10.3S.176.6E.