【讨论扰动】全程讨论南太扰动区01F
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level 9
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120WISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Dec 01/2319 UTC 2008 UTC. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 01F CENTRE [1006HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 12S 164W 012100 UTC AND REMAINS SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR/VIS WITH ANIMATION. SST IS AROUND 27 DEGREE CELCIUS. CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR THE LAST 24 HOURS AND HAS SLIGTLY INCREASED IN THE LAST 6 HOURS DUE TO DIURNAL VARIATION BUT NOTDEEPENED MUCH.SYSTEM IS SLIGHTLY ORGANISED WITH CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WELL DEFINED FROM LOW-MID LEVEL [850-500HPA]. O1F LIES UNDER A 250 HPA UPPER TROUGH IN A MODERATELY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. MOST GLOBAL MODELS [ AVN/UKGC/US/EC] ARE SHOWING DEVELOPMENT OF O1F AND MOVING IT WESTSOUTHWEST. POTENTIAL FOR O1F DEVELOP IN THE 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW. NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN ! THE AREA. 
2008年12月04日 05点12分 1
level 9
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2008年12月04日 05点12分 2
level 6
会挂
2008年12月04日 10点12分 3
level 0
可能会
2008年12月04日 11点12分 4
level 0
挂了
2008年12月05日 04点12分 5
1