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吃白兔的胡萝卜
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Numbers say rooks Frank Kaminsky, Delon Wright poised to make impact
Kevin Pelton, ESPN Staff Writer
In an era in which most top prospects enter the NBA after spending just one year in college, there's only a limited relationship between playing well as a rookie and long-term success. After all, the 2010-11 All-Rookie First Team includedLandry Fields and Gary Neal, but not Eric Bledsoe, Derrick Favors, Greg Monroeor Paul George.
As a result, most projections for draft picks wisely focus on production over several years rather than immediate results. But my WARP projectionsare built on translations that convert NCAA and international performance to its NBA equivalents, adjusted for a year of player development. Therefore, we can use them to project the players who will be most effective as rookies.
I've ranked players here based on the rookie version of the consensus projections that incorporate where a player was drafted along with their past performance, factoring in the opinions of NBA scouts. Players are ranked on their winning percentage, the per-minute version of my wins-above-replacement player stat akin to PER. Let's take a look at the top 10.
2015年08月03日 13点08分
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Kevin Pelton, ESPN Staff Writer
In an era in which most top prospects enter the NBA after spending just one year in college, there's only a limited relationship between playing well as a rookie and long-term success. After all, the 2010-11 All-Rookie First Team includedLandry Fields and Gary Neal, but not Eric Bledsoe, Derrick Favors, Greg Monroeor Paul George.
As a result, most projections for draft picks wisely focus on production over several years rather than immediate results. But my WARP projectionsare built on translations that convert NCAA and international performance to its NBA equivalents, adjusted for a year of player development. Therefore, we can use them to project the players who will be most effective as rookies.
I've ranked players here based on the rookie version of the consensus projections that incorporate where a player was drafted along with their past performance, factoring in the opinions of NBA scouts. Players are ranked on their winning percentage, the per-minute version of my wins-above-replacement player stat akin to PER. Let's take a look at the top 10.
