The dollar stands near the highs for the year as we enter what will be a shortened trading week.It’s the euro,yen and also Swiss franc that have suffered in recent trading sessions,although the single currency has managed a modest recovery in the Asian trading session.Key events are getting thin on the ground going into the holiday period.The main focus will be with final GDP data in the UK,US and various European countries,together with housing data in the US,released both today and tomorrow.None are likely to drastically alter the tone to currencies.
我们迎来这一个被缩短的交易周的时候，美元离开今年的高点不远了。欧元，最近几个交易期中日元和瑞士法郎颇受困扰，不过欧元还是在亚洲盘有所恢复。由于节日临近，也没有什么关键事件发生。令人关注的就是英国，美国和一些欧洲国家的最终GDP数据，以及美国的房屋数据。这些数据都将在今天和明天发布。但这些数据都不太可能对货币产生大的影响。
The past 3 weeks have been pretty turbulent for markets,mostly owing to events in Russia,together with the falling oil price and also the volatility that this has caused in other markets,including FX and stocks.We have seen some recovery in oil back above the$60 level on Brent,which is giving some relief from recent pressures.This has also allowed the yen to shed some more of its recent risk aversion bid,currently trading just below the 120 level on USDJPY.We see the yen as one of the weakest major currencies in 2015,but it’s going to be a fairly rough ride along the way.See our blog for more outlooks for the year ahead.
过去三周之中市场相当动荡，这主要是因为俄罗斯，此外还因为油价下跌以及其他市场随之而产生的波动，这些市场包括外汇和股票。石油方面，我们发现油价有所恢复，布伦特原油上升到了60美元之上；减轻了最近的压力。这种局面也让日元出现更多避险竞买趋势，目前美元日元仅仅低于120这个水平。我们认为日元也许会成为2015年最疲软的货币之一，但整个过程会比较坎坷。请看我们的博客以了解我们对明年前景的感想。