田中💥踹范佩西 大湿控制节奏
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【推背图】未来12年世界足坛走势 1.卡塔尔世界杯,卫冕冠军法国踢不好的前提下,冠军属于最大的绿队。德国会夺冠实现5星。 2.卡塔尔世界杯,东欧球队全面溃败没有几个能进世界杯,俄罗斯必然进不去。 3.卡塔尔世界杯,时隔20年土耳其再进世界杯,最终是8-4强。土耳其和德国会有场比赛成为以后反复提及的比赛。 4.卡塔尔世界杯,荷兰结束动乱,使用众多摩洛哥土耳其裔,最终进入8-4强。 5.卡塔尔世界杯,英格兰最终是8强,估计跟一支强队打进不了4强。 6.卡塔尔世界杯,西亚北非球队很多,黑哨很多。多1轮的附加赛也会有。国足进不了48强。 7.北美世界杯,英格兰夺冠,33岁的凯恩跟希勒一样老当益壮,只是还会留在国家队。现在这批队员只剩凯恩和某个中后卫。 8.北美世界杯,国足从蔡时代以来重新恢复的青训会得到成果,最终进入32强,比赛结果比韩日世界杯好。不过国足因为经验不足,仍然小组无法突破。 9.北美世界杯,美国进入4强。 10,北美世界杯,澳新都会出现。加拿大会归化几个英国人提高实力。 11.北美世界杯,苏格兰时隔28年重回世界杯。 12.北美世界杯,内马尔遗憾谢幕,济科的命。贝利,济科,肥罗,内马尔,巴西不可能每个时代标志人物都能圆满。巴西的6星要等到下个扛旗人。 13.北美世界杯,东欧队仍然没有好成绩。菲律宾进入世界杯。 14.2030世界杯在中英两国间竞争,中国争到国足实现小组突破,意巴争冠,上合国家和友邦可能取得好成绩。英国争到,英格兰卫冕。 15.2018-19欧洲国家联赛,英格兰或意大利夺冠。 16.2020欧洲杯,英法争冠。 17.2019美洲杯,梅西终获冠军,自己唯一一座国家队锦标。 18.2020美洲杯,内马尔夺冠。 19.2019亚洲杯,日本夺冠。 20.2023亚洲杯,国足夺冠。
开贴总结回放时代明目张胆的2018非法世界杯黑哨 1.阿根廷1-1冰岛本该有的第2个点球被裁判黑掉。下半场32分钟帕文左路突破接近禁区内底线被萨瓦尔松结结实实绊倒,阿根廷被黑掉点球。几乎(考虑到点球不进没有说绝对,后面也如此)造成阿根廷丢2分,冰岛偷1分。2.墨西哥1-0德国,下半场24分钟胡梅尔斯禁区内推倒埃尔南德斯,墨西哥被黑掉点球。幸亏墨西哥赢球,否则又是个决定性黑哨。3.巴西1-1瑞士,下半场28分钟阿坎吉禁区内抱摔热苏斯,巴西被瑞士亲爹因凡蒂诺的裁判组黑掉点球。几乎造成巴西丢2分,瑞士偷1分。4.英格兰2-1突尼斯,上半场38分钟萨西禁区内抱摔凯恩。5.英格兰2-1突尼斯,下半场50分钟梅里亚禁区内抱摔凯恩,英格兰凯恩单场2次被同样禁区内犯规又被同样黑掉点球。幸亏英格兰赢球,否则又是决定性黑哨。6.摩洛哥0-1葡萄牙,下半场35分钟禁区内佩佩手球被黑掉点球,摩洛哥被黑掉点球。几乎造成摩洛哥丢1分惨遭淘汰,葡萄牙偷2分。 另,本场比赛c罗多次假摔未受惩罚。7.塞尔维亚1-2瑞士,下半场21分钟萨莎尔和利希施泰纳禁区内联手抱摔米特洛维奇,塞尔维亚被瑞士亲爹因凡蒂诺的裁判组黑掉点球。这个点球被黑掉几乎造成塞尔维亚丢1分出线形势危急,瑞士赚2分出线形势大好。 另,本场比赛意识形态严重的德国裁判对瑞士整场比赛抱摔塞尔维亚球员熟视无睹,多次倒打一耙反而吹塞尔维亚球员进攻犯规。塞尔维亚这个点球被黑掉对本场比赛后面走势产生了严重负面影响,硬要较真可以说塞尔维亚丢3分,瑞士仗着亲爹因凡蒂诺裁判组偷3分。截止北京时间2018年6月23日上午,本届世界杯共进行26场比赛,至少已出现7个点球被裁判组黑掉。 阿根廷,巴西,摩洛哥,塞尔维亚因此惨重失分。摩洛哥因为黑哨已经惨遭淘汰,塞尔维亚出线形势岌岌可危。 相应的冰岛,瑞士,葡萄牙因黑哨赚分。其中瑞士小组赛2场全部靠因凡蒂诺亲爹裁判组保送共偷3分以上。 墨西哥,英格兰被黑掉点球未影响积分,但是影响到净胜球。 相应的德国,突尼斯未偷到积分,但是偷到了净胜球。 在此希望后面的比赛中,各队严格预防冰岛,瑞士,葡萄牙,德国,突尼斯预期性极强地依靠非法黑哨组偷比分的行为。尤其是要预防瑞士继续仗因凡蒂诺亲爹裁判组黑对手。 同时也希望阿根廷,巴西,摩洛哥,塞尔维亚,墨西哥,英格兰在后面的比赛中做好充分准备,不要再被非法黑哨组算计。
豆瓣蛆是不是对豆瓣的影响力有所误会 对于没看过的电影我一般是不评分的,因为每个人的标准和口味不一样,别人觉得好看的我不一定认为好看,别人认为难看的我不一定认为难看。豆瓣作为文青聚集地,更看重剧本的深度、主演、导演是否大牌,而猫眼淘票票作为主要的购票软件接触到的主要是普通电影观众,他们会更在意自己看的高不高兴,爽不爽,感不感动,喜剧更让人高兴,特效大片让人爽,情感剧让人感动能做的这些的电影就是成功的电影,虽然会在豆瓣文青的眼里认为是低俗、不高雅,但古时不是有句话叫做“曲高和寡”吗?高雅的艺术一直都是脱离广大群众的。 豆瓣的影评人们喜欢贴标签,奥斯卡导演的电影肯定就是好电影,中国辣鸡喜剧演员去导演的电影肯定是辣鸡。之前我是信的,但看了豆瓣代表作《比利林恩的中场春晚》,我成功的睡着了。为了不被豆瓣文青们骂辣鸡观众,赶紧看了看美国的评论,原来美国很多人都骂这片辣鸡,IMDB6.3和豆瓣8.3形成了鲜明对比,最后的票房也看得出中国普通观众和美国普通观众一致的。 再来一个贴标签的典型,大鹏,一个演喜剧的居然又拍电影了,文青们愤怒了,必须给《缝纫机乐队》打低分,什么!猫眼评分9.3!肯定是买的!我才不看那种辣鸡片,反正我不看也要打低分。然而之后的票房走势却再次证明猫眼评分对票房的引导性,6倍首周的后劲说明了观众的选择。 再来说说文青们最喜欢谈的《圈圈圈》猫眼7.1分的梗,看下图,7.1分好于28%的电影,也就说这个7.1分就是个烂片的评分,当然文青眼里应该是好于0.1%的超级大烂片,然后猫眼的评分机制在这个时候帮了神作导演的一个忙。猫眼评分所有人都可以评,但是只有在猫眼买了票的才会计入有效评分,这样就给了很多电影花钱刷分的机会,这就跟豆瓣不花钱刷分有所区别,猫眼这种机制,发行规模越小越好刷,相反看得人多了评分多了就没法控制了。 《圈圈圈》票房累计233万,猫眼评分人数只有5536人,这对于毕导演来说刷分难度很低,有个有钱的老丈人,花钱买票房的时候顺便喊兄弟们刷个3000条10分就行了,起码把分刷到9.8才是我毕导的神作能要多少钱?什么!那些正在买票进电影院看电影的观众给了差评!分数已经降到7.1分了,马丹,这些人看不懂我毕导的神作,下映了不给他们看了! 豆瓣文青愤怒了,居然有这么烂的片,必须给差评,让它史上最低,你们看猫眼那个渣渣,过了大半年了还维持在7.1分的高分,真的是辣鸡。我们组团那么多人去猫眼打低分,猫眼都不把我们的分计入有效评分,猫眼绝对收钱了! 下映后锁死的评分 然而文青们鄙夷的猫眼却始终贯彻买票评分的机制,这就导致了一个现象,猫眼的评分会普遍比豆瓣高,猫眼8分以上电影占据大多数。为什么会出现这种情况呢?首先买票评分,肯定是喜欢这部电影,或者是对这部电影和演员有期待你才会花钱买票去看啊。不喜欢你会去花钱遭罪受?(陪老婆和女朋友的另算)豆瓣文青会为了降低猫眼评分去买小沈阳、大鹏、郭敬明这些人的票?不可能的嘛。 因此猫眼评分都是基于大部分喜欢这部电影的人来评分,起评分就会很高了。只要电影没有辜负他们的期待,大多数观众都是不吝啬好评的,就像淘宝买东西评分一样,不是4.9就是4.8。只有没让观众踩雷,就不会得到太低的评分。 如何正确理解猫眼评分?8分以下属于烂片,很多人打的情感分饶他一次,这个区段的评分是不值得观看的,娱乐性很低或者让观众踩雷了。8.0到8.5一半多的人觉得能看消磨时间的电影,8.6到8.9一半多的人觉得好看的电影,9.0到9.4大多数人觉得好看的电影,9.5以上基本所有人都觉得好看的电影。 最后提供给不知名新导演一个刷猫眼评分的好办法,随便拍个什么凑齐90分钟,弄到上映许可证,在某个小城市的不知名电影院包一个厅放你的“电影”,一个厅两百人的话,包五个场次就行,但必须一定要在猫眼弄1000个账号买票买满座,如果有其他观众买票的话给他退了,只能你自己买。凑齐1000个人评十分,立马下线!恭喜你,猫眼影史第一部满分十分的电影诞生了,不要太高调,免得猫眼发现给你删了。当然这种方法适合钱多烧的慌加上无聊透顶的人士,普通人不要轻易尝试哦。 说了这么多,好像还没谈对《猛虫过江》的评价?评价个屁啊,我又没看,我怎么知道是好还是坏!
伊丽莎白一世给万历皇帝的信 汉译估计很多人看过,我发一点原件。相关背景介绍: When I was a lad, I remember my father showing me a beautifully illuminated Elizabethan charter. At the time he was County Archivist for Lancashire, England, and as far as I can remember the ‘Charter’ had been found by a Lancashire farmer when his bran bin had collapsed, revealing its lining! The Charter is on parchment, which perhaps explains its survival. The Charter is, in fact, a letter from Queen Elizabeth I to the Emperor of Cathay [China] seeking trade with China and, incidentally, asking for good treatment of George Waymouth (or Weymouth), the captain of two small ships, sponsored by the East India Company, which set out from Ratcliff, England, May 2, 1602, to search for the North West Passage and thus a shortcut to China. The Elizabeth I letter, to be delivered by George Waymouth, was accompanied by contemporary translations of the letter, in Latin, Spanish and Italian, presumably so that, if no-one at the Emperor’s court could read English, then perhaps they could read one of these alternative languages. Finally the letter was delivered: George Waymouth never made it to China of course, but the letter was eventually delivered, somewhat late, in 1984. That year marked the 60th Anniversary of the establishment of the first National Archive of China. A colloquium was held in Beijing to mark the occasion. One of the attendees was Dr Geoffrey Martin, then Keeper of the Public Records – Britain’s most senior archivist at the time. On his arrival , Dr Martin was pleased to hand over a coloured photograph of the letter to the Director of the State Archive in Beijing. 信件内容从早期现代英语译为现代英语如下: Elizabeth, by the grace of God, Queen of England, France and Ireland, Defender of the Faith to the great, mighty and invincible Emperor of Cathay, greetings. We have received divers and sundry reports both by our own subjects and others, who have visited some parts of Your Majesty’s empire. They have told us of your greatness and your kind usage of strangers, who come to your kingdom with merchandise to trade. This has encouraged us to find a shorter route by sea from us to your country than the usual course that involves encompassing the greatest part of the world. This nearer passage may provide opportunity for trade between the subjects of both our countries and also amity may grow between us, due to the navigation of a closer route. With this in mind, we have many times in the past encouraged some of our pioneering subjects to find this nearer passage through the north. Some of their ships didn’t return again and nothing was ever heard of them, presumably because of frozen seas and intolerable cold. However, we wish to try again and have prepared and set forth two small ships under the direction of our subject, George Waymouth, employed as principal pilot for his knowledge and experience in navigation. We hope your Majesty will look kindly on them and give them encouragement to make this new discovered passage, which hitherto has not been frequented or known as a usual trade route. By this means our countries can exchange commodities for our mutual benefit and as a result, friendship may grow. We decided for this first passage not to burden your Majesty with great quantities of commodities as the ships were venturing on a previously unknown route and would need such necessities as required for their discovery. It may please your Majesty to observe, on the ships, samples available from our country of many diverse materials which we can supply most amply and may it please your Majesty to enquire of the said George Waymouth what may be supplied by the next fleet. In the meantime, we commend Your Majesty to the protection of the Eternal God, who providence guides and follows all kings and kingdoms. From our Royal Palace of Greenwich, the fourth of May anno Domini 1602 and of our reign 44. Elizabeth R
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